AdTechTalent
Data ScienceYesterdayOn-site

Microsoft

Principal Applied Scientist

causal inferencedata-driven attributionmachine learningincrementality estimationcounterfactual learningadvertisingstatistical modelingexperimental designeconometricspredictive analyticsproduction ML systemsmentoringtechnical leadership

Key details

Salary

Not specified

Employment type

Full-time

Seniority

Senior

Years experience

10+

Location

Redmond, Washington, United States; Sunnyvale, California, United States

Full job description

The Signals Modeling team develops large-scale learning systems for advertising marketplace optimization, focusing on user behavior, impact measurement, and outcome optimization. The Principal Applied Scientist will lead data-driven attribution and causal measurement strategies, develop methodologies for incrementality estimation, counterfactual learning, and bias correction, and drive adoption of attribution frameworks to improve bidding, ranking, and advertiser ROI. The role requires expertise in causal inference, experimental design, and production ML systems, with responsibilities including mentoring scientists and influencing technical strategy. Candidates must have advanced degrees in relevant fields with significant experience in statistics, econometrics, or computer science, and a proven track record in leading large-scale machine learning or statistical systems. The position is full-time, on-site in Redmond, WA or Sunnyvale, CA, with salary ranges from $142,800 to $304,200 depending on location.

What you'll do

  • Define and drive scientific and technical strategy for data-driven attribution and causal measurement across advertising systems
  • Establish methodologies for incrementality estimation, counterfactual learning, delayed-feedback modeling, and bias correction
  • Lead design and production adoption of attribution and causal inference frameworks to improve bidding, ranking, optimization, and advertiser ROI
  • Set evaluation standards to distinguish correlation from causation and elevate experimental rigor
  • Identify capability gaps and introduce advanced research, tools, or modeling approaches
  • Operate across organizational boundaries to align research, engineering, product, and business leaders on measurement strategy
  • Serve as subject-matter expert and technical advisor on attribution and causal inference
  • Mentor scientists and influence technical direction to raise scientific bar

Requirements

  • Bachelor's Degree in Statistics, Econometrics, Computer Science, Electrical or Computer Engineering, or related field AND 6+ years related experience
  • OR Master's Degree in Statistics, Econometrics, Computer Science, Electrical or Computer Engineering, or related field AND 4+ years related experience
  • OR Doctorate in Statistics, Econometrics, Computer Science, Electrical or Computer Engineering, or related field AND 3+ years related experience
  • OR equivalent experience
  • Preferred: Master's Degree AND 9+ years related experience or Doctorate AND 6+ years related experience or equivalent
  • Demonstrated track record of setting technical direction for large-scale machine learning or statistical systems
  • Deep expertise in causal inference, data-driven attribution, treatment effect estimation, counterfactual learning, or experimental design in production
  • Experience leading ambiguous, high-impact initiatives with limited ground truth and methodological rigor
  • Proven ability to influence strategy and drive adoption of new measurement or modeling approaches
  • Significant experience developing and deploying production ML systems across product lifecycle
  • Solid scientific judgment selecting appropriate methodologies under real-world constraints
  • Exceptional communication skills for technical and business leaders
  • Recognized expertise in attribution, incrementality, marketplace experimentation, or causal ML
  • Track record of driving multi-year research or modeling agendas improving product outcomes
  • Experience defining measurement strategy for advertising platforms, marketplaces, or recommendation systems
  • Publications, patents, or widely adopted internal methodologies in causal inference, experimentation, econometrics, or applied ML
  • History of mentoring senior scientists and elevating organizational scientific capability
  • Experience influencing director- or VP-level technical strategy

Tech stack

machine learningcausal inferencedata-driven attributionincrementality estimationcounterfactual learningdelayed-feedback modelingbias correctionstatistical systemseconometricspredictive analyticsexperimental design

Benefits

Certain roles may be eligible for benefits and other compensationLink to additional benefits and pay information: https://careers.microsoft.com/us/en/us-corporate-pay

Apply now

This MVP uses a placeholder application flow. In production, this section can connect to an external apply URL or a native application form.

Similar jobs

More roles worth a look

Related opportunities based on specialty and working model so candidates can keep momentum.